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九丰能源(605090):收购华凯石油燃气,将逐步建立双库动态运营体系

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating to "Accumulate" [5][13] Core Views - The acquisition of Huakai Oil and Gas will gradually establish a dual-storage dynamic operation system, which is expected to drive future performance growth [2][13] - The company anticipates a recovery in performance due to the continuous decline in natural gas prices [13] - The target price is adjusted to 36.82 CNY, based on a 14x PE for 2025, reflecting the company's leading position and strong pricing power in the industry [13] Financial Summary - For H1 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue of 10.428 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 7.45% [13] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 861 million CNY, down 22.17% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit increased by 2.92% to 811 million CNY [13] - LNG business performed well with a production of over 330,000 tons, exceeding the planned target by 6% [13] - The LPG business saw a significant increase in raw gas sales, achieving over 340,000 tons, a year-on-year growth of 106% [13] Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 25.970 billion CNY, 29.450 billion CNY, and 33.300 billion CNY respectively, with expected growth rates of 17.8%, 13.4%, and 13.1% [12][13] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 1.751 billion CNY, 2.008 billion CNY, and 2.137 billion CNY, reflecting growth rates of 4.0%, 14.7%, and 6.4% [12][13] - The EPS estimates for 2025-2027 are revised to 2.63 CNY, 3.02 CNY, and 3.21 CNY respectively [13]