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东方电缆(603606):在手订单充足,后续成长可期

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy-A" rating to the company with a 12-month target price of 64.31 CNY, indicating a positive outlook for the stock [7]. Core Views - The company has a solid order backlog of approximately 19.6 billion CNY, which provides a stable foundation for future growth [3]. - Despite short-term performance pressures, primarily due to delivery schedule issues, the company is expected to benefit from the accelerating development of deep-sea projects and its leading position in the submarine cable sector [4][5]. - The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.69 billion CNY, 2.21 billion CNY, and 2.73 billion CNY, respectively, with growth rates of 68%, 31%, and 24% [5]. Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company reported revenues of 4.432 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 9.0%, while net profit decreased by 26.6% to 473 million CNY [1]. - The revenue from the submarine and high-voltage cable segment was 1.957 billion CNY in H1 2025, reflecting an 8.32% increase, but a significant decline of 46.84% in Q2 2025 due to project delivery issues [2]. - The company’s financial forecasts indicate a steady increase in revenue from 7.31 billion CNY in 2023 to 18.223 billion CNY in 2027, with corresponding net profit growth [6][11].