Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a 6-month target price of 30.42 CNY, compared to the current stock price of 26.68 CNY [4]. Core Views - The company's revenue and performance are under pressure, primarily due to a decline in the gypsum board and keel business, while the paint business has shown significant growth [2][3]. - In H1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 13.558 billion CNY, a slight decrease of 0.29% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.930 billion CNY, down 12.85% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is focusing on expanding its two wings of business, with waterproofing materials and paint showing positive revenue growth [2][3]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 135.58 billion CNY, with a year-on-year decline of 0.29%. The revenue drop is mainly attributed to the decline in gypsum board and keel business [2]. - The revenue breakdown for H1 2025 includes: gypsum board at 66.77 billion CNY (down 8.57% YoY), keel at 11.37 billion CNY (down 10.72% YoY), waterproofing materials at 17.20 billion CNY (up 0.63% YoY), and paint at 25.11 billion CNY (up 40.82% YoY) [2]. Profitability - The company's gross profit margin for H1 2025 was 30.35%, a decrease of 0.59 percentage points year-on-year. The decline in gross margin is attributed to decreased demand and intense market competition [3]. - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 improved to 31.55%, an increase of 2.61 percentage points from Q1, mainly due to a price increase for gypsum board products implemented on March 5 [3]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to maintain its position as a leader in the gypsum board industry while actively expanding its waterproofing and paint businesses, which are experiencing rapid revenue growth [7]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 27.609 billion CNY, 30.037 billion CNY, and 32.422 billion CNY, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 6.93%, 8.79%, and 7.94% [7][8].
北新建材(000786):石膏板主业承压,涂料营收同比高增,Q2毛利率环比改善