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林泰新材(920106):北交所信息更新:湿式纸基摩擦片国产龙头地位稳固,ELSD新赛道开启百亿增量空间,2025H1净利同比+168%

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company maintains a leading position in the domestic market for wet paper-based friction plates, with significant growth potential in the ELSD (Electronic Limited Slip Differential) segment, which is expected to open up a market space worth billions [1][3] - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 205 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 67.72%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 75.16 million yuan, up 167.81% year-on-year [1][2] - The company is expected to benefit from the acceleration of domestic substitution in the wet paper-based friction plate market and the introduction of new products in the ELSD segment, which could serve as a second growth curve [1][3] Financial Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 49.01%, an increase of 6.60 percentage points compared to the first half of 2024 [1] - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are 141 million yuan, 201 million yuan, and 295 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 2.53 yuan, 3.61 yuan, and 5.28 yuan [1][4] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 40.5, 28.3, and 19.4 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [1][4] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company is the only domestic brand providing wet paper-based friction plates for passenger vehicles in bulk, benefiting from the growth in sales and market share of domestic brands [2] - The collaboration with Dong'an Qifa has led to significant increases in production and sales in the commercial vehicle sector, with year-on-year growth of 119.62% and 166.52% respectively in the first half of 2025 [2] - The global electronic differential market is projected to grow from 4.22 billion USD in 2024 to 11.14 billion USD by 2032, with the company already securing positions in the supply chains of major domestic and international automotive manufacturers [3]