Valin Steel(SZ:000932) Western Securities·2025-08-20 07:59Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][10] Core Views - The company's performance in H1 2025 aligns with market expectations, with a revenue of 62.794 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.02%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.748 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 31.31% [1][2] - The company continues to focus on high-end products, with 68.5% of its steel sales coming from key varieties, an increase of 3.9 percentage points year-on-year [2][3] - The strategic direction of the company is in line with industry trends, emphasizing high-end, intelligent, and green development [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 32.719 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.58%, and a net profit of 1.186 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.22% [2] - The gross margin for the company in H1 2025 was 10.57%, an increase of 2.43 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 4.52%, an increase of 1.31 percentage points year-on-year [2] Product Development - The company developed 75 new products, with 6 being "domestic first" or "import substitutes" [2] - The gross margin for long products was 5.45%, for flat products was 13.65%, and for pipes was 10.89%, all showing year-on-year increases [2] Industry Context - The steel industry is undergoing structural adjustments, with national crude steel production in H1 2025 at 515 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.0% [3] - The average value of the China Steel Price Index (CSPI) was 93.75 points, a year-on-year decrease of 13.35% [3] Earnings Forecast - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are projected to be 0.44, 0.51, and 0.55 yuan, respectively, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 13, 11, and 10 times [3][4]