Nanhua Futures(SH:603093) Nan Hua Qi Huo·2025-08-20 08:18Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View The prices of each monthly contract of the Container Shipping Index (European Line) futures fluctuated slightly downward in the morning and rebounded in the afternoon. Except for a slight increase in the EC2508 contract, the prices of other monthly contracts declined slightly. The opening price of the futures dropped due to Hamas' compromise on the cease - fire plan and MSC and Evergreen's price cuts for the European Line in late August. However, the price rebounded later because MSK's new - week spot cabin quotes for the European Line decreased less than the previous value and market expectations. Overall, it is more likely that EC will continue to fluctuate, and some contracts may rebound from low levels [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Content EC Risk Management Strategy - For those with full - capacity or poor booking volume and worried about falling freight rates, they can short the container shipping index futures (EC2510) at 1450 - 1550 to lock in profits [1]. - For those who want to book cabins according to orders to prevent rising freight rates and increased costs, they can buy the container shipping index futures (EC2510) at 1200 - 1300 to determine booking costs in advance [1]. Market Factors Analysis - Negative Factors: Hamas compromised on the cease - fire plan, reducing geopolitical risks and dampening market sentiment. MSC and Evergreen cut the European Line quotes in late August [1][2]. - Positive Factor: MSK's new - week spot cabin quotes for the European Line decreased less than the previous value and market expectations [1]. EC Contract Data - Position and Trading Volume: In the EC2510 contract, long positions decreased by 347 to 27701, short positions increased by 122 to 32102, and trading volume decreased by 955 to 33432 (bilateral) [1]. - Price and Spread: On August 19, 2025, EC2508 closed at 2127.3 with a daily increase of 1.87% and a weekly increase of 2.18%. EC2510 closed at 1370.3 with a daily decrease of 0.20% and a weekly decrease of 3.34%. Other contract data are also provided, along with price spreads between different contracts [4]. Spot Cabin Quotes - Maersk: On August 28, the 20GP total quote for Shanghai - Rotterdam was $1480 (up $30 from the previous value), and the 40GP was $2510 (up $60). On September 4, the 20GP opening quote was $1265 (down $55 from the previous week), and the 40GP was $2110 (down $90 from the previous week) [6]. - MSC: In the past two weeks, the 20GP total quote for Shanghai - Rotterdam was $1550 (down $150), and the 40GP was $2590 (down $250). In early September, the 20GP total quote was $1556 (up $6), and the 40GP was $2602 (up $12) [6]. - Evergreen: In late August, the 20GP total quote for Shanghai - Rotterdam was $1805 (down $150), and the 40GP was $2760 (down $200) [7]. Global Freight Rate Index - SCFIS: The European Line was at 2180.17 (down 55.31, - 2.47%), and the US - West Line was at 1106.29 (up 24.15, 2.23%) [7]. - SCFI: The European Line was at $1820/TEU (down $141, - 7.19%), and the US - West Line was at $1759/FEU (down $64, - 3.51%) [7]. - XSI: The European Line was at $3083/FEU (down $36, - 1.15%), and the US - West Line was at $1849/FEU (down $13, - 0.7%) [7]. - FBX: The comprehensive freight rate index was at $1975/FEU (down $162, - 7.58%) [7]. Global Port Waiting Time - On August 18, 2025, Hong Kong Port's waiting time was 1.020 days (up 0.527 from the previous day), Shanghai Port's was 1.809 days (down 0.220), and other port data are also provided [14]. Ship Speed and Waiting Ship Number - On August 18, 2025, the average speed of 8000 + container ships was 15.966 knots (down 0.014 from the previous day), and the number of ships waiting at the Suez Canal port anchor was 19 (up 4 from the previous day) [22].