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龙佰集团(002601):钛白粉价格底部,强化产业链布局

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Longbai Group [2][4]. Core Views - The price of titanium dioxide is at a bottom level, and there is potential for a rebound as demand gradually recovers. The company has recently increased prices for domestic and international customers [3][4]. - Longbai Group is strengthening its upstream mineral resource layout, enhancing its integrated industrial chain advantages. The company is actively developing key projects to increase its titanium concentrate and iron concentrate production capacity [4][6]. Financial Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, Longbai Group achieved revenue of 13.33 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.34%, and a net profit of 1.39 billion yuan, down 19.53% year-on-year. Despite a 2.08% increase in titanium dioxide sales volume to 612,000 tons, revenue from titanium dioxide fell by 7.68% to 8.66 billion yuan due to price declines [3]. - Revenue from other products such as sponge titanium, iron-based products, zirconium products, and new energy materials showed growth, with increases of 12.96%, 10.61%, 18.95%, and 27.23% respectively [3]. Production Capacity and Resource Development - Longbai Group has a titanium dioxide production capacity of 1.51 million tons and sponge titanium capacity of 80,000 tons, ranking among the top globally. The company is working on projects to enhance its titanium concentrate and iron concentrate production capacities significantly [4][6]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for Longbai Group remains unchanged for 2025-2027, with expected net profits of 2.78 billion yuan, 3.10 billion yuan, and 3.64 billion yuan respectively. The corresponding EPS for these years is projected to be 1.17 yuan, 1.30 yuan, and 1.53 yuan, with current P/E ratios of 15, 13, and 11 times [4][5].