LIHUA(SZ:300761) Western Securities·2025-08-20 10:32Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 8.353 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 149 million for the first half of 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.02% in revenue but a significant decline of 74.10% in net profit [2][5] - The poultry business showed steady growth in output, but the decline in selling prices negatively impacted performance, leading to a gross margin drop [2][3] - The swine business achieved good profitability due to a significant increase in output and effective cost control, with revenue growing by 117.65% year-on-year [3] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 25H1, the company achieved a revenue of 8.353 billion and a net profit of 149 million, with basic EPS at 0.18 yuan. In 25Q2, revenue was 4.267 billion and net profit was -57 million, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.98% in revenue but a decline of 111.58% in net profit [2][5] - The poultry segment generated 635 million in revenue, down 6.76% year-on-year, while the swine segment generated 1.947 billion, up 117.65% year-on-year [2][3] Poultry Business - The company sold 260 million meat chickens in 25H1, a 10.37% increase year-on-year, but the average selling price dropped by 18.40%, leading to a gross margin of 6.21%, down 7.65 percentage points [2][3] - The goose business sold 1.1627 million meat geese, up 21.06% year-on-year, but faced a price drop of 23.03%, resulting in temporary losses [2] Swine Business - The swine business saw a significant increase in output, with 949,600 pigs sold, up 118.35% year-on-year. The total cost of pork dropped to 12.8 yuan per kilogram, indicating potential for further cost reductions [3] - The gross margin for the overall business was 9.95% in 25H1, down 4.15 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to the decline in chicken prices [3] Financial Forecast - The company revised its profit forecast, expecting net profits of 586 million, 1.474 billion, and 1.942 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 27.6, 11.0, and 8.3 [3]