Jia Yuan Technology(SH:688388) EBSCN·2025-08-20 10:32Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has seen a turnaround in its main business, with solid-state batteries and high-end PCB copper foil opening up valuation space [1] - The company achieved a net profit of 0.24 million yuan in Q1 2025, reversing losses due to increased orders, higher capacity utilization, and lower production costs, leading to improved gross margins [1] - The company plans to increase copper foil production capacity to approximately 250,000 tons, with expectations to exceed 130,000 tons in total capacity by 2025, and production and sales are anticipated to break through 90,000 tons [1] - The processing fees for copper foil have reached a bottom in 2024, with some product fees already rebounding, and the industry is encouraged to avoid vicious competition, which is expected to stabilize demand growth for lithium batteries [1] - The company has developed a rich product matrix for solid-state batteries, including high specific surface area copper foil and double-sided nickel-plated copper foil, with expected shipments of solid-state battery copper foil to reach around 100 tons in 2025 [2] - The company has made positive progress in high-end PCB copper foil, with ultra-thin copper foil for PCB applications already in mass production and achieving certification from leading enterprises [2] Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The report predicts net profits of 1.05 million yuan for 2025, 2.74 million yuan for 2026, and 5.24 million yuan for 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 97, 37, and 20 times respectively [2] - Revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 9.997 billion yuan in 2025, 15.540 billion yuan in 2026, and 22.410 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting growth rates of 53.28%, 55.44%, and 44.21% respectively [4][8] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve, with a forecasted gross margin of 5.0% in 2025 and 4.9% in 2026 [10]