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紫光国微(002049):特种集成电路业务保持强劲增长,智能安全芯片市场竞争加剧

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's special integrated circuit business continues to show strong growth, with revenue reaching 1.469 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.09%, accounting for 48.21% of total revenue, becoming the core growth engine [8] - The smart security chip business faces intensified market competition, resulting in a revenue decline of 5.85% to 1.395 billion yuan [8] - The quartz crystal frequency device business benefits from the demand release in 5G and IoT, with revenue increasing by 35.78% to 151 million yuan [8] - The overall gross margin is approximately 55.56%, with the special integrated circuit gross margin at 71.12%, while the smart security chip gross margin slightly decreased to 44.16% [8] - The company is enhancing its core competitiveness through technological upgrades and product structure adjustments in strategic areas [8] Financial Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 3.047 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.07%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 690 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.18% [1][8] - The earnings forecast for 2025-2026 has been adjusted, with net profits expected to be 1.675 billion yuan and 1.926 billion yuan respectively, down from previous estimates [8] - The projected net profit for 2027 is 2.613 billion yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 42, 36, and 27 times for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8] - The company maintains a strong position in the domestic special integrated circuit market, justifying the "Buy" rating despite the downward adjustment in profit expectations [8]