Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target valuation of 21.00 - 24.00 CNY, while the current stock price is 18.05 CNY [3]. Core Insights - The company reported strong performance in the first half of 2025, achieving revenue of 3.727 billion CNY and a net profit of 330 million CNY, representing year-on-year growth of 21.59% and 99% respectively [7][11]. - The battery business has shown significant recovery, with a shipment of approximately 310 million units in the first half of 2025, and a 70% year-on-year increase in Q2 shipments [11][12]. - The company is expanding its market presence in new applications such as BBU modules and AI robotics, which are expected to enhance profitability [12][13]. Financial Data and Valuation - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 5.222 billion CNY in 2023, 6.756 billion CNY in 2024, and an estimated 8.201 billion CNY in 2025, with respective year-on-year growth rates of -17%, 29%, and 21% [2][17]. - The company's gross profit margin is expected to improve, with estimates of 21% in 2025, up from 12.8% in 2023 [17]. - The return on equity (ROE) is projected to increase from 9.0% in the trailing twelve months to 16.0% by 2027 [3][21]. Business Analysis - The battery segment is expected to contribute significantly to profits, with estimated profits of over 1 billion CNY in Q2 2025, driven by increased production rates and price adjustments [11][12]. - The LED and metal logistics segments are also contributing positively, with the LED business alone contributing over 500 million CNY in Q2 2025 [12][13]. - The company is actively pursuing new customer segments in the electric tool market, with overseas customer contributions expected to exceed 50% [11][12].
蔚蓝锂芯(002245):业绩超预期,锂电池量利齐升,LED恢复