TSPGC(SH:601000) Huachuang Securities·2025-08-20 14:48Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for Tangshan Port (601000) for the first time [1]. Core Views - Tangshan Port is positioned as a high-dividend benchmark in the port industry, with long-term development benefits driven by the integration of Hebei's port region [1][7]. - The company has a strong operational resilience, focusing on the bulk cargo business, which now accounts for over 90% of its operations, leading to improved profitability [6][8]. - The report highlights the company's stable cash flow and high dividend yield, making it a preferred investment choice in the port sector [9][11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for Tangshan Port are as follows: - 2024: 5,724 million - 2025: 6,219 million - 2026: 6,630 million - 2027: 6,932 million - The expected growth rates are -2.1% for 2024, followed by 8.6%, 6.6%, and 4.6% for the subsequent years [2]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be: - 2024: 1,979 million - 2025: 2,039 million - 2026: 2,187 million - 2027: 2,303 million - The expected growth rates for net profit are 2.8%, 3.0%, 7.3%, and 5.3% respectively [2]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.33, 0.34, 0.37, and 0.39 for the years 2024 to 2027 [2]. Investment Theme - The report emphasizes the ongoing orderly integration of the port industry, which is expected to solidify future investment returns, particularly in Hebei Province [7]. - Tangshan Port is expected to benefit from its extensive hinterland and strong ties to the steel industry in Tangshan, enhancing its competitive position [7][8]. Operational Strengths - The company has a robust operational model focused on bulk cargo, with a significant increase in gross margin since 2020 [6][8]. - The iron ore and coal sectors are highlighted as key drivers of growth, with iron ore throughput expected to benefit from stable demand from local steel production [6][59]. - The coal transportation segment is also projected to improve, supported by the company's strategic position as a core port for coal transport from northern to southern regions [74][81]. Dividend Policy - Tangshan Port is recognized as a cash dividend benchmark in the port industry, maintaining a high dividend payout ratio and stable cash flow [9][11]. - The company has consistently paid a dividend of 0.2 yuan per share since 2020, with a current dividend yield of 5.0% based on the expected share price [11].