YanKershop(SZ:002847) HTSC·2025-08-21 02:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 88.50 [1][4][7] Core Views - The company reported a strong performance in H1 2025, with revenue, net profit attributable to the parent, and net profit excluding non-recurring items reaching RMB 2.94 billion, RMB 370 million, and RMB 330 million, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 19.6%, 16.7%, and 22.5% [1][2] - The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of RMB 1.4 billion, net profit attributable to the parent of RMB 190 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of RMB 180 million, with year-on-year growth of 13.5%, 21.7%, and 31.8% [1][2] - The company is expected to benefit from category and channel dividends, with continued growth in quantitative circulation, snack wholesale, and membership supermarkets [1][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company's gross profit margin was 29.7%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin attributable to the parent was 12.7%, a decrease of 0.3 percentage points [3] - The company’s sales and management expense ratios decreased to 10.6% and 3.5%, respectively, due to channel structure optimization and reduced incentive expenses [3] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from RMB 5.30 billion in 2024 to RMB 8.51 billion in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 28.89%, 18.02%, 18.15%, and 15.04% [10] - Net profit attributable to the parent is expected to increase from RMB 639.95 million in 2024 to RMB 1.14 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 26.53%, 25.62%, 20.12%, and 17.70% [10] Valuation - The company is assigned a PE ratio of 30x for 2025, with a target price of RMB 88.50, reflecting a downward adjustment from the previous target price of RMB 99.84 [4][10]