China XD(SH:601179) HTSC·2025-08-21 03:41Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of RMB 7.54 [7][8][5] Core Views - The company has shown strong profit growth in Q2 2025, with total revenue reaching RMB 6.07 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.22% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 15.38% [1] - The company is benefiting from strong demand in the non-UHV main network bidding and ongoing planning and construction of UHV projects, leading to an optimistic outlook for its profitability [1] - The gross margin for H1 2025 improved to 21.61%, up 2.68 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased to 6.55%, up 1.04 percentage points year-on-year [2] - The company has significantly increased its overseas revenue, which reached RMB 2.17 billion, a year-on-year growth of 64.05%, with the overseas revenue proportion rising to 19.16% [3] - The domestic bidding for transmission and transformation equipment has been robust, with a total investment of RMB 291.1 billion in China's power grid from January to June 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.6% [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of RMB 11.33 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.91%, and a net profit of RMB 598 million, a year-on-year increase of 30.08% [2] - The company’s revenue from transformers, switches, and power electronics reached RMB 4.93 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 10.45% [2] Market Expansion - The company has successfully expanded its overseas business, with significant contracts won in Malaysia and from GE, indicating a strong demand for high-voltage products abroad [3] - The domestic transformer industry has also seen strong export performance, with a total export value of USD 3.75 billion from January to June 2025, a year-on-year increase of 36% [3] Industry Outlook - The report highlights the ongoing strong demand for UHV projects, with several key projects expected to be operational in 2025, supporting future demand for the company's products [4] - The overall investment in the power grid is expected to continue growing, providing a favorable environment for the company's operations [4] Profitability Forecast - The report has adjusted the profit forecast for 2025-2027, with expected net profits of RMB 1.48 billion, RMB 1.85 billion, and RMB 2.13 billion respectively, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.93% [5] - The company is projected to maintain a strong earnings growth trajectory, supported by its comprehensive product coverage and ongoing market expansion [5]