Changhong Meiling (SZ:000521) Guotou Securities·2025-08-21 05:34Investment Rating - The investment rating for Changhong Meiling is maintained at "Buy-A" with a target price of 8.99 CNY for the next six months [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 18.07 billion CNY for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 420 million CNY, which is a slight increase of 0.3% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 10.71 billion CNY, up 18.8% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 9.7% to 240 million CNY, primarily due to increased foreign exchange losses [1][3]. - The domestic "old-for-new" policy has effectively boosted air conditioning sales, leading to rapid revenue growth in Q2 [1]. Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - Air conditioning revenue for H1 2025 increased by 36.2% year-on-year, driven by domestic subsidies and promotional activities [2]. - Refrigerator revenue decreased by 4.1% year-on-year in H1 2025, with a similar decline expected in Q2 [2]. - Washing machine revenue grew by 32.7% year-on-year in H1 2025, supported by differentiated product launches and focus on key overseas markets [2]. Profitability Metrics - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 9.5%, a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin decreased by 0.7 percentage points to 2.2% due to increased financial expenses from foreign exchange losses [3]. - Operating cash flow for Q2 2025 was 2.65 billion CNY, down 7.2% year-on-year, attributed to increased production and inventory costs [3]. Financial Projections - The company expects earnings per share (EPS) of 0.75 CNY, 0.83 CNY, and 0.92 CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]. - The projected dynamic price-to-earnings ratio for 2025 is 12 times, supporting the target price of 8.99 CNY [3].