EASTMONEY(SZ:300059) Guoyuan Securities·2025-08-21 07:12Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [4][6]. Core Views - The company has experienced rapid revenue and profit growth, with total revenue reaching 6.856 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 38.65%, primarily driven by a rise in securities fees and commissions [1][4]. - The capital market is gradually recovering, with significant increases in trading activity and institutional investor scale, contributing to the company's strong performance [1][2]. - The integration of AI capabilities into various business lines has enhanced the company's product offerings and operational efficiency, supporting its growth strategy [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit of 5.567 billion yuan, up 37.27% year-on-year, with securities services revenue growing by 54.24% to 5.279 billion yuan [1][4]. - The average daily trading volume in the stock market reached 1.64 trillion yuan, a 65.7% increase from the previous year, reflecting improved market conditions [1][2]. Business Segments - The securities business saw significant growth, with brokerage trading volume reaching 16.03 trillion yuan, and the asset management scale expanding rapidly [2]. - The company has been actively developing its market-making business and has received approval for its securities market-making trading qualifications [2]. AI Integration - The company's proprietary AI model has been fully integrated into its products, enhancing capabilities in various financial scenarios and improving user engagement [3]. - The AI-driven tools have been upgraded to support advanced analysis and research, contributing to better investment decision-making for institutional clients [3]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted to 14.222 billion yuan, 15.723 billion yuan, and 17.196 billion yuan, respectively, with net profit estimates of 11.758 billion yuan, 13.185 billion yuan, and 14.534 billion yuan [4][8]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for the next three years are projected to be 0.74 yuan, 0.83 yuan, and 0.92 yuan, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 36.40, 32.46, and 29.45 [4][8].