Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [4][6]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 439 million CNY for the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.1%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 23.9% to 63 million CNY [1]. - The tutoring business showed strong growth, with revenues increasing by 58.7% to 52 million CNY, and the number of enrolled students rising by 56.6% to 23,000 [1][3]. - The company is expanding its presence in the Guangzhou market, with a significant increase in the number of learning centers, while facing challenges in the Shenzhen market due to intensified competition and management adjustments [3][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, the company's gross margin was 34.3%, down 10.1 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to high initial costs associated with new learning centers in Guangzhou [2]. - The adjusted net profit for the same period was 81 million CNY, a decrease of 13.1% year-on-year [1][2]. Market Expansion - The company plans to continue expanding in the Guangdong province, with new learning centers in Guangzhou performing well and future plans for operations in Dongguan, Foshan, and other cities by 2028 [3][4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been revised downwards to 159 million CNY, 209 million CNY, and 271 million CNY, respectively, reflecting a decrease of 25%, 28%, and 29% [4]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.28 CNY, 0.37 CNY, and 0.48 CNY, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 9x, 7x, and 6x [4].
思考乐教育(01769):2025年半年报点评:广州市场拓展顺利,新校区投入致利润短期承压