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零跑汽车(09863):上半年销量盈利双突破,全球化开启新篇章

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][10]. Core Insights - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 24.25 billion, a year-on-year increase of 174.15%, and a net profit of 0.33 billion, marking a 101.49% increase, with a gross margin reaching a historical high of 14.1% [1][2]. - The company has launched new models and upgraded existing ones, significantly enhancing its product matrix and driving sales growth. The sales guidance for the year has been raised from 500,000-600,000 units to 580,000-650,000 units, with a target of reaching 1 million units in the following year [2][3]. - The global expansion strategy is progressing, with the establishment of a joint venture with Stellantis, enabling the company to tap into overseas markets effectively. In the first half of 2025, the company exported 20,375 vehicles, leading the new forces in sales [3][4]. Financial Summary - The projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 64.86 billion, 100.70 billion, and 122.10 billion respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 101.6%, 55.3%, and 21.2%. The net profits are expected to be 0.55 billion, 2.73 billion, and 5.01 billion respectively [3][4]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is projected to turn positive in 2025, reaching 0.41, and further increasing to 2.04 and 3.75 in 2026 and 2027 respectively [4][5].