EASTMONEY(SZ:300059) Great Wall Securities·2025-08-21 10:11Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a stock price increase of over 15% relative to the industry index in the next six months [5][18]. Core Views - The company's performance is supported by its securities business, with a strong outlook for growth driven by AI empowerment [1][9]. - The capital market is expected to continue its reform, boosting market confidence, and the company's market share in core businesses like brokerage and margin trading is anticipated to maintain an upward trend [9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023A, the company reported total revenue of 11,081.44 million yuan, with a year-on-year decline of 11.25%. However, revenue is projected to grow to 19,007.71 million yuan by 2027E, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.01% [1][11]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023A was 8,193.47 million yuan, with a projected increase to 15,597.02 million yuan by 2027E, reflecting a CAGR of about 8.88% [1][11]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is expected to remain stable, with values of 17.25% in 2023A and 15.62% in 2027E [1][11]. Business Segment Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's securities business revenue increased by 32.99%, while the net profit for the same segment rose by 35.82% [2][3]. - The company’s margin trading market share was 3.15% in the first half of 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.21 percentage points [3]. - The company’s self-operated investment income decreased by 14.66% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, primarily due to fluctuations in the bond market [3]. Cost and Efficiency - The total cost-to-revenue ratio improved to 31.04% in the first half of 2025, down from 37.07% in 2024, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [4]. - The company’s total operating costs increased by 2.72% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, while sales expenses decreased by 7.19% [4]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue benefiting from AI capabilities, which are integrated across its product lines, enhancing its competitive position in the wealth management ecosystem [9]. - The report suggests that the current valuation of the company compared to other A-share fintech companies presents an attractive strategic allocation opportunity [9].