BNBMPLC(SZ:000786) Hua Yuan Zheng Quan·2025-08-21 10:29Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [6] Core Views - Short-term performance is under pressure, but the long-term logic remains unchanged. The company is a leading player in the domestic gypsum board industry, leveraging its stable cash flow from gypsum board operations to accelerate its transformation into a comprehensive manufacturer and service provider in consumer building materials. The company is expected to benefit from domestic demand policies, enhancing its valuation center [8][6] Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 13.558 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.29%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.930 billion yuan, down 12.85% year-on-year. The second quarter revenue was 7.312 billion yuan, a decline of 4.46% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.087 billion yuan, down 21.88% year-on-year [8] - The gypsum board business generated revenue of 6.677 billion yuan, down 8.57% year-on-year, while the paint business saw a significant increase in revenue by 40.82% year-on-year, attributed to the consolidation of Zhejiang Daqiao and the high-end positioning of Jiaboli [8] - The company’s operating cash flow for the first half of 2025 was 0.962 billion yuan, a decrease of 52.86% year-on-year, primarily due to the impact of consolidating Jiaboli and a reduction in cash received from sales [8] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 4.025 billion yuan, 4.362 billion yuan, and 4.805 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (P/E) based on the stock price as of August 20 are 11 times, 10 times, and 9 times [8][9] - Revenue forecasts for 2023, 2024, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E are 22.426 billion yuan, 25.821 billion yuan, 27.344 billion yuan, 28.961 billion yuan, and 31.137 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 12.50%, 15.14%, 5.90%, 5.91%, and 7.51% [7][9]