Workflow
确成股份(605183):无惧上下游波动,销量创单季度新高

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 1.112 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 3.87%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 276 million yuan, up 5.44% year-on-year [2] - The company reported a record high sales volume of 94,000 tons in Q2 2025, with stable production levels maintained since Q2 2024 [4] - The company is expanding its capacity with ongoing projects, including a 100,000-ton biomass silica project and a 30,200-ton thickener project, expected to be completed in 2025 [4] - The company maintains a gross margin of 36.67% and a net margin of 24.14% despite fluctuations in raw material prices, indicating strong competitive positioning [4] - The increasing penetration of new energy vehicles is expected to drive demand for green tire materials, with new energy vehicle sales accounting for 44.3% of total new car sales in the first half of 2025 [4] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 2.426 billion yuan, 2.523 billion yuan, and 2.592 billion yuan, with net profits of 577 million yuan, 631 million yuan, and 675 million yuan respectively, reflecting growth rates of 10.4%, 4.0%, and 2.7% [4][5] Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue for 2023 was 1.81 billion yuan, with a projected growth rate of 3.7% [5] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 was 413 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.4% [5] - The projected diluted EPS for 2025 is 1.39 yuan, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 15.73x [5]