鲁西化工（000830）：短期盈利承压，营收稳增显韧性

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][6][25] Core Views - The company experienced a revenue increase of 5.0% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, achieving a total revenue of 14.74 billion yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 34.8% to 760 million yuan [1][10] - The decline in profit is primarily attributed to fluctuations in raw material prices and weak downstream demand in the chemical new materials sector, along with intensified competition affecting profit margins [1][10] - The chemical new materials segment generated revenue of 9.74 billion yuan, accounting for 66.1% of total revenue, but saw a significant drop in gross margin by 9.8 percentage points to 11.4% [2][13] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported revenue of 7.45 billion yuan, a 2.2% increase year-on-year, but net profit fell by 41.9% to 350 million yuan [1][10] - The overall gross margin for the first half of 2025 was 13.2%, down 4.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was 4.7%, down 3.6 percentage points [10] Chemical New Materials Segment - The chemical new materials business saw revenue growth of 2.4% year-on-year, but the gross margin decreased significantly [2][13] - Key products such as polycarbonate and nylon 6 faced price declines due to weak downstream demand and increased competition [2][13] Basic Chemicals Segment - The basic chemicals segment reported revenue of 2.96 billion yuan, a 5.1% increase year-on-year, with an improved gross margin of 22.1% [3][15] - The performance of formic acid was relatively strong, while dichloromethane and other products faced weaker demand [3][15] Fertilizer Segment - The fertilizer business achieved revenue of 1.78 billion yuan, a 22.4% increase year-on-year, although the gross margin slightly declined to 5.8% [16]