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福能股份(600483):业绩符合预期,拟首次中期派息

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 6.369 billion RMB in 1H25, a year-over-year decrease of 4.4%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.337 billion RMB, an increase of 12.5% year-over-year [1] - The company plans to distribute its first interim dividend of 0.073 RMB per share, with a payout ratio of 15% [1] - The company expects to maintain high profitability levels in 2025, driven by a 14% year-over-year increase in net profit from renewable energy sources [2] - The company has a robust project pipeline, aiming for installed capacity of 15 GW by 2025 and 20 GW by 2030 [4] - The target price for the company has been raised to 14.30 RMB, reflecting an upward adjustment based on comparable valuations in the renewable energy sector [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H25, the company achieved a net profit of 1.337 billion RMB, with a 12.8% increase in non-recurring net profit year-over-year [1] - The second quarter saw a revenue of 3.272 billion RMB, down 8.5% year-over-year but up 5.6% quarter-over-quarter [1] - The company’s coal-fired power and other businesses saw a 16% increase in net profit year-over-year, benefiting from declining coal prices [3] Renewable Energy - The company’s wind power generation increased by 8.4% year-over-year to 28.67 billion kWh in 1H25, with offshore wind power generation up 10% to 16.90 billion kWh [2] - The company anticipates a 2% year-over-year increase in renewable energy profits for 2025, contingent on improved wind resources [2] Coal-fired Power - The company’s coal-fired power generation decreased by 7.3% year-over-year to 78.63 billion kWh in 1H25, but net profit from this segment increased by 16% year-over-year [3] - The company expects a 22% year-over-year increase in profits from coal-fired and other businesses in 2025 due to falling coal prices [3] Project Pipeline - The company has several projects under construction, including Dongqiao Thermal Power (1.32 GW) and Mulan Pumped Storage (1.4 GW), with plans for additional offshore wind and pumped storage projects [4] Valuation and Price Target - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 3.071 billion RMB, 3.310 billion RMB, and 3.717 billion RMB, respectively, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10% [5] - The target price of 14.30 RMB is based on a 13x price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for coal-fired power and a 13x PE for renewable energy, aligning with industry averages [5]