FII(SH:601138) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-08-22 03:02Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, indicating a positive outlook for its stock performance [4]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in AI server manufacturing and has a comprehensive layout in smart manufacturing, benefiting from the rapid growth in AI-driven demand [14][27]. - The AI server business is experiencing high demand, with significant revenue growth projected in the coming years, driven by major cloud service providers' capital expenditures [2][39]. - The company has a stable and concentrated shareholding structure, with a seasoned management team that supports its strategic initiatives [21][25]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company operates in three main segments: communication and mobile network equipment, cloud computing, and industrial internet, achieving full coverage of five major categories in the digital economy [14]. - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a 35.58% year-on-year revenue increase to CNY 360.76 billion, with a net profit growth of 38.61% to CNY 12.11 billion [27]. 2. AI Server Demand and Cloud Computing Benefits - The demand for AI servers remains robust, with major cloud service providers increasing their capital expenditures significantly, reaching USD 90 billion in Q2 2025, a 70% year-on-year increase [2][39]. - The company's AI server revenue grew over 60% year-on-year in Q2 2025, contributing to a substantial increase in overall cloud computing revenue [2][39]. 3. High-Speed Switches and Client Collaborations - The market for high-speed switches is expanding, with the 400G market projected to reach approximately USD 8.91 billion by 2024, and the 800G market expected to grow significantly [3]. - The company has deepened collaborations with major clients, enhancing its competitive advantage in the data center interconnect market [3]. 4. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve revenues of CNY 971.79 billion, CNY 1,653.68 billion, and CNY 2,205.94 billion in 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of CNY 34.15 billion, CNY 52.43 billion, and CNY 65.16 billion [4][5]. - The report highlights the company's valuation advantages compared to peers, with projected P/E ratios of 26, 17, and 14 for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4].