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许继电气(000400):业绩整体符合市场预期,盈利能力显著改善

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's overall performance in the first half of 2025 met market expectations, with significant improvement in profitability [8] - The direct current transmission business continues to grow rapidly, while high voltage projects are progressing steadily [8] - The company is experiencing pressure on revenue from distribution and metering products, but cost control measures are enhancing profitability [8] - International market expansion is showing promising results, with substantial growth in overseas revenue [8] - The company has increased its investment in sales system construction, leading to a significant rise in contract liabilities and cash flow exceeding profits [8] - Profit forecasts have been adjusted downward due to delays in high voltage project approvals and price reductions in distribution products, but the company still shows strong growth potential [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is projected at 17,061 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 13.51% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 1,005 million RMB in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.03% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to be 0.99 RMB per share for 2023, with a P/E ratio of 23.59 [1] - For 2025, total revenue is estimated at 17,960 million RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 5.09% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected at 1,426 million RMB, indicating a year-on-year increase of 27.67% [1] - The P/E ratio for 2025 is expected to be 16.63 [1]