SACO(SZ:002025) SINOLINK SECURITIES·2025-08-22 06:25Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, projecting significant profit growth over the next few years [5][44]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.934 billion RMB for H1 2025, a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year, but the net profit attributable to the parent company dropped by 77.4% to 86 million RMB [3][15][16]. - The decline in net profit is attributed to price reductions on certain products and extended acceptance periods affecting revenue recognition in the defense sector [4][16]. - Despite challenges, the company has seen rapid growth in orders within the defense, new energy, and data communication sectors, with a year-on-year increase of over 30% in new project orders [4][16]. Performance Summary - H1 2025 revenue: 2.934 billion RMB (YoY +0.4%), net profit: 86 million RMB (YoY -77.4%) [3][15]. - Q2 2025 revenue: 1.469 billion RMB (YoY +12.3%, QoQ +0.2%), net profit: 40 million RMB (YoY -74.9%, QoQ -13.8%) [3][15]. - The company’s gross margin for H1 2025 was 31.9%, down 15.6 percentage points, while the net profit margin was 3.0%, down 10.2 percentage points [4][21]. Business Analysis - The company’s connector business generated revenue of 2.065 billion RMB, up 9.96%, while the motor segment saw a revenue decline of 12.47% to 660 million RMB [4]. - The company has a robust order backlog, with contract liabilities increasing by 25.45% to 161 million RMB and inventory rising by 22.64% to 2.171 billion RMB [4][34]. - Capital expenditures for Q2 2025 reached 116 million RMB, a significant increase of 94.96% from the previous quarter, indicating ongoing capacity expansion [4][28]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 710 million RMB, 900 million RMB, and 1.12 billion RMB for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting growth rates of 105.4%, 26.8%, and 23.4% [5][44]. - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 33, 26, and 21 times, respectively [5][44].