Workflow
上海家化(600315):Q2业绩快速增长,战略改革逐步发挥成效

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) with a target price of 27.07 CNY [1][6] Core Views - The company has shown rapid revenue growth in Q2, with a year-on-year increase of 25% and a significant profit increase of 367%, driven primarily by online sales channels [9] - The company is focusing on core brands and innovation in niche markets, with successful new product launches receiving positive market feedback [9] - The company’s operational quality is improving, as indicated by a decrease in inventory turnover days and accounts receivable turnover days, along with a 40% increase in net cash from operating activities [9] - Despite challenges in overseas business, there is an expectation of gradual improvement in the second half of the year due to easing trade tensions and optimization in product and marketing strategies [9] Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025-2027 has been raised to 0.50, 0.72, and 0.94 CNY respectively, up from previous estimates of 0.48, 0.69, and 0.89 CNY [6][10] - The company’s DCF target valuation remains at 27.07 CNY, supporting the "Accumulate" rating [6][10] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6,302 million, 6,886 million, and 7,484 million CNY, reflecting a recovery trajectory after a challenging 2024 [7][10]