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卫星化学(002648):1H25业绩稳健增长,看好α-烯烃综合利用项目建设

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by more than 15% in the next six months [4][19]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady revenue and profit growth, driven by the construction of new projects, particularly the 100,000-ton ethanolamine facility and the 800,000-ton multi-carbon alcohol project, which are anticipated to contribute incremental revenue [2][10]. - The α-olefin comprehensive utilization project is progressing well and is expected to open up a second growth curve for the company, with significant contributions to profits anticipated upon completion [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company reported revenue of 41,487 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.0%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 4,789 million yuan, reflecting a substantial year-on-year increase of 54.7% [1]. - The projected revenue for 2025 is 53,795 million yuan, with a growth rate of 17.8%, while the net profit is expected to be 6,370 million yuan, showing a growth rate of 4.9% [10]. - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 18.2% in 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to reach 1.89 yuan [1][10]. Segment Performance Summary - In the first half of 2025, the functional chemicals segment generated revenue of 12,217 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 32.12%. The polymer new materials segment reported revenue of 5,245 million yuan, down 4.43% year-on-year [2]. - The average prices for key products in the C3 industry chain saw a year-on-year increase, while C2 products faced slight pressure on prices [2]. Cash Flow and Financial Ratios - The net cash flow from operating activities in the first half of 2025 was 5,052 million yuan, a significant increase of 138.88% year-on-year [3]. - The company's cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period amounted to 8,846 million yuan, up 109.81% year-on-year [3]. - The report indicates a decrease in accounts receivable by 21.15% and an increase in accounts receivable turnover from 24.80 times to 30.14 times year-on-year [8].