Yahua Group(SZ:002497) KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-08-22 08:42Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company has experienced a decline in performance due to falling lithium prices, but long-term growth potential remains strong. The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 has been adjusted downward, with expected net profits of 5.80 billion, 8.70 billion, and 12.02 billion respectively. The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 27.8, 18.5, and 13.4 for the years 2025 to 2027 [5][6] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 34.23 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 13.04%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.36 billion, an increase of 32.87% year-on-year. In Q2 2025, revenue was 18.86 billion, down 9.50% year-on-year but up 22.70% quarter-on-quarter. The net profit for Q2 was 0.53 billion, down 38.90% year-on-year and 35.36% quarter-on-quarter [5][6] Business Segments Lithium Business - The lithium segment reported revenue of 17.64 billion in H1 2025, with a net loss of 1.27 billion due to low lithium prices. The company expects to produce 280,000 tons of lithium concentrate in 2025 and 350,000 tons in 2026, which will enhance self-sufficiency in lithium supply [7] Explosives Business - The explosives segment generated revenue of 14.65 billion in H1 2025, with a net profit of 2.53 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2.4%. The company holds a significant market share in the domestic explosives market and is expanding into overseas markets, which is expected to contribute to long-term growth [6][7]