证券代码：002497 证券简称：雅化集团 公告编号：2026-02 四川雅化实业集团股份有限公司 关于签署锂辉石精矿承购和销售协议的公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露内容的真实、准确和完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 1、因本协议履行期限较长，在履行过程中如遇国际政治环境、宏观经济、市场行情变化 等不可预计或不可抗力因素的影响，可能存在协议无法如期或全部履行的风险。 2、本协议约定合同期的第一个合同年从卖方通知产品准备装运之日起，卖方通知产品准 备装运以卖方实现稳定生产为前提，但卖方锂辉石精矿稳定生产的时间具有一定的不确定性， 因而未来产品实际交付的时间存在延期的可能。 3、协议已就产品、数量、价格、违约和争议解决等方面的应对措施和责任归属作出明确 约定，但在协议履行期间可能出现其他问题，仍可能对本协议的履行造成影响。 一、协议签署情况 近日，四川雅化实业集团股份有限公司（以下简称"雅化集团"或"公司"）与 MGLIT EMPREENDIMENTOS LTDA（以下简称"MGLIT 公司"或"卖方"）签订了《承购和销售协 议》（以下简称"本协议"或"协议"），雅化集团将在 MG ...

Group 1 - Wanhua Chemical (600309) is a global leader in the polyurethane industry, with core businesses covering MDI, TDI, and polyether polyols, while also extending into petrochemicals, new materials, and fine chemicals. The company has established a comprehensive industrial chain from raw materials to end products, maintaining a leading market share in MDI due to its scale and technological barriers. It is expanding into high-performance materials and new energy materials, aligning with the trends in new energy and high-end manufacturing, which opens up long-term growth opportunities [1][25] - Juhua Co., Ltd. (600160) is a leading enterprise in the domestic fluorochemical sector, with core businesses including fluorochemicals, chlor-alkali chemicals, and petrochemical materials. The company has a significant capacity in fluorinated refrigerants and is expanding into electronic chemicals and photovoltaic fluorinated materials, gradually breaking through overseas technological monopolies. Its comprehensive layout in the fluorochemical industry chain and strong compliance and cost advantages position it well for growth [2][26] - Satellite Chemical (002648) is a leader in the domestic acrylic acid and ester industry, focusing on acrylic acid, high polymer emulsions, and functional polymer materials. The company is accelerating its layout in photovoltaic-grade EVA and POE new energy materials, leveraging its propane dehydrogenation process to build an integrated industrial chain. Its strong cost control and alignment with the growth of the photovoltaic and lithium battery industries provide sustainable development momentum [3][27] Group 2 - Hoshine Silicon Industry (603260) is a global leader in industrial silicon and organic silicon, with core businesses covering industrial silicon, organic silicon, and graphite electrodes. The company has a leading production capacity in industrial silicon and a comprehensive product range in organic silicon, benefiting from energy-rich production bases. Its complete industrial chain layout and focus on high-purity silicon for photovoltaics align with trends in new energy and high-end manufacturing, offering significant long-term growth potential [4][28] - Adisseo (600299) is a global leader in animal nutrition additives, with core products including methionine and vitamins widely used in livestock farming. The company has established a stable supply system and significant technological and cost advantages, while also expanding into biotechnology and functional food sectors. Its stable performance and low sensitivity to macroeconomic fluctuations enhance its competitive position in the global feed additive industry [5][29] - Zhejiang Longsheng (600352) is a global leader in the dye industry, with core businesses covering dyes, intermediates, and water-reducing agents. The company has a leading market share in disperse and reactive dyes, supported by an integrated industrial chain and strong cost control. Its diversified business structure enhances risk resilience, while its expansion into hydrogen energy and environmental protection projects strengthens its competitive position in the global dye and fine chemical industry [6][30] Group 3 - Haohua Technology (600378) is a domestic leader in high-end fluorinated materials and electronic chemicals, with core businesses including fluororesins, fluororubbers, and electronic-grade chemicals. The company benefits from deep technological reserves and has achieved some degree of import substitution. Its focus on high-end chemical materials aligns with national strategic emerging industries, providing long-term growth support [7][31] - Sanmei Co., Ltd. (603379) is a key player in the domestic fluorochemical sector, focusing on refrigerants, foaming agents, and fluorinated salts. The company has established an integrated fluorochemical industrial chain and is expanding into environmentally friendly refrigerants. Its stable cash flow and strong downstream demand support its competitive position in the domestic fluorochemical market [8][32] - Meihua Biological (600873) is a global leader in the amino acid industry, with core products including monosodium glutamate and amino acids widely used in food, feed, and pharmaceuticals. The company has a leading market share in MSG and lysine, supported by its advanced fermentation technology and cost advantages. Its expansion into pharmaceutical-grade amino acids and biodegradable materials enhances its competitive position in the global amino acid and fermentation industry [9][33]

Group 1: Precious Metals - The financial attributes of precious metals, particularly gold, are expected to continue to shine, driven by ongoing central bank purchases and a shift in global credit dynamics, with gold prices projected to rise significantly [4][13][36] - Central banks' gold purchases are anticipated to increase from 5% to 21% of global gold demand from 2020 to 2024, with a peak of 23% in 2022, indicating a strong demand for gold as a safe asset [13][19] - Gold prices are projected to exceed $6,000 per ounce by 2026, supported by central bank buying and a decline in real interest rates [33][36][46] Group 2: Industrial Metals - The demand for industrial metals, particularly aluminum and copper, is expected to remain robust, with aluminum nearing production capacity limits domestically and limited supply growth internationally [4][54] - The copper market is facing significant supply disruptions, with major mines experiencing production cuts due to various operational challenges, leading to a tight supply outlook [53][54] - The overall copper production is projected to grow modestly, with a year-on-year increase of 2.5% in 2024 and 1.2% in 2025, but supply constraints may limit growth potential [54][72] Group 3: Minor Metals - Strategic minor metals such as lithium, cobalt, and tungsten are experiencing a revaluation due to increasing demand from energy storage and electric vehicle sectors [5][48] - The lithium industry is expected to see a reversal in its cycle earlier than anticipated, driven by high demand for energy storage solutions [5] - Cobalt supply is tightening significantly, leading to a notable price increase, while nickel prices are supported by clear cost structures and increasing supply disruptions [5][48]

Investment Rating - Maintain "Buy" rating for the sector [5] Core Views - The geopolitical situation in the Middle East continues to disrupt bullish sentiment, but there is sustained optimism for precious metals during the stagflation cycle [1] - Copper demand remains resilient despite short-term geopolitical disturbances, with a positive long-term outlook [2] - Aluminum prices are experiencing significant volatility due to ongoing overseas conflicts, while domestic demand is gradually transitioning towards a consumption peak [3] - Nickel prices are under pressure from geopolitical disturbances, but supply constraints provide some support [4] - Tin prices are fluctuating due to a tug-of-war between supply and demand factors, with a lack of strong driving forces [8] - The lithium market is seeing increases in both supply and demand, maintaining a trend of inventory reduction [9] - Cobalt prices are experiencing fluctuations due to weak downstream purchasing [10] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The ongoing geopolitical crisis in the Middle East has led to sustained high oil prices, impacting investor sentiment towards precious metals. However, concerns are seen as short-term, with a bullish outlook for the medium term [1][41] Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Demand remains strong with a recovery in market transactions as production resumes. Recent expectations for downstream production have improved, indicating a healthy demand base [2] - **Aluminum**: Supply has slightly increased, but high prices are suppressing some demand. The market is transitioning towards a consumption peak, with ongoing geopolitical factors influencing prices [3] - **Nickel**: Prices have decreased due to geopolitical tensions, but supply constraints from Indonesia are providing support [4] - **Tin**: Supply is stable, but demand is weak, leading to a lack of strong price movements [8] Energy Metals - **Lithium**: Both supply and demand are increasing, with a focus on inventory reduction. The market is expected to remain active due to rising demand from the electric vehicle sector [9] - **Cobalt**: Prices are fluctuating with weak demand from downstream sectors, leading to a cautious purchasing environment [10]

Summary of China Basic Materials Monitor - March 2026 Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Basic Materials** industry, highlighting changes post-Chinese New Year (CNY) amid elevated commodity prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East [1] Key Points Demand Trends - **Mixed Demand Post-CNY**: Demand is strong for energy-related items such as power grid cables, ESS batteries, and export solar modules, but weaker than expected in construction, appliances, automotive, and traditional hardware [1] - **Demand Destruction**: Elevated metal prices have led to a **15-20% demand destruction** pre-CNY, although this has been accepted by the end market for now [1] - **Export Orders Impact**: Producers expect a **5-15% impact on export orders** from the Middle East, particularly in steel, electric vehicles (EV), and energy storage systems (ESS) [1] - **High Energy Prices**: The outlook for high energy prices has made copper traders cautious, leading to increased prices for seaborne and domestic coal [1] Supply Dynamics - **Cement Production Cuts**: Top cement producers are closing **5-15% of their capacity** due to depressed demand [1] - **Carbon Trading Impact**: The inclusion of steel in the national carbon trading platform imposes limited discipline on steel production in 2026 [1] Demand Metrics - **High-Frequency Data**: In the first week of March, Chinese demand was reported to be **50-60% lower year-on-year (YoY)** for cement and construction steel, and **2-8% lower YoY** for aluminum, copper, and flat steel [1] - **Margin and Pricing Trends**: Margins/pricing for coal, aluminum, and lithium improved, while steel and cement prices softened, with copper prices remaining stable [1] Producer Feedback - **Order Book Trends**: A proprietary survey indicated that **95% of respondents** reported a month-on-month (MoM) pickup in March for downstream sectors, and **86% for commodities** [2] Additional Insights - **Cautious Outlook**: The overall cautious sentiment in the market is reflected in the mixed demand and the adjustments in production capacities across various sectors [1][2] Conclusion - The China Basic Materials industry is currently navigating a complex landscape characterized by mixed demand, elevated prices, and strategic adjustments in production. The ongoing geopolitical tensions and energy price fluctuations are critical factors influencing market dynamics.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry [7] Core Views - The geopolitical situation has intensified, leading to opportunities in precious metals during a stagflation cycle. The report emphasizes the importance of positioning in precious metals due to supply disruption risks and low employment data indicating potential economic stagnation [1] - For copper, demand remains resilient despite short-term geopolitical disturbances, with expectations of improved production in downstream markets. The report suggests a cautious outlook on inventory levels and pricing trends [2] - Aluminum prices have reached historical highs amid political unrest, with stable supply and increasing demand as production resumes post-holiday [3] - Nickel prices have declined due to geopolitical disturbances, but supply constraints provide some support. The report notes a sluggish demand recovery in stainless steel and a cautious outlook for battery-grade nickel [4] - Tin prices are expected to experience strong fluctuations due to supply tightness and cautious purchasing behavior from downstream enterprises [5] - Lithium prices have seen a downward trend due to geopolitical and import disturbances, but demand is expected to improve as production resumes in the battery sector [6] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report highlights the potential for precious metals as a hedge against geopolitical risks and economic stagnation, recommending companies such as Xinyi Silver and Zijin Mining [1] Industrial Metals - **Copper**: Demand is expected to recover as production ramps up, with a focus on companies like Zijin Mining and Western Mining [2] - **Aluminum**: The report notes stable supply and increasing demand, recommending companies such as China Hongqiao and Nanshan Aluminum [3] - **Nickel**: Supply constraints are noted, with a focus on companies like Huayou Cobalt and Greenmech [4] - **Tin**: The report suggests monitoring supply and demand dynamics, recommending companies like Yunnan Tin and Xinyi Silver [5] Energy Metals - **Lithium**: The report indicates a downward price trend but anticipates a recovery in demand, recommending companies such as Ganfeng Lithium and Tianqi Lithium [6] - **Cobalt**: The report notes stable supply and demand, with a focus on companies like Huayou Cobalt and Tianqi Lithium [10]

Core Viewpoint - Zimbabwe's sudden ban on all raw mineral and lithium concentrate exports has triggered a significant market reaction, with lithium carbonate futures surging over 11% to exceed 160,000 yuan/ton, indicating a potential new cycle in the lithium market driven by supply disruptions and surging demand from energy storage batteries [1][2][3]. Supply Side - The ban from Zimbabwe is expected to have a short-term impact, with current compliant export capacity limited to 25,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) in 2026, increasing to 60,000 tons in 2027 [3][5]. - The global lithium supply is projected to be approximately 202,000 tons of LCE in 2026, with demand expected to reach around 201.7 million tons, indicating a tight supply-demand balance [22]. - The recovery of lithium production in Australia is anticipated to take at least a quarter, with many projects still in the planning stages, which limits immediate supply response to rising prices [8][12]. Demand Side - The demand for lithium is increasingly driven by energy storage, with global shipments of storage batteries expected to reach 900 GWh in 2026, translating to a demand for approximately 540,000 tons of LCE, a 50% year-on-year increase [16][18]. - Despite a temporary slowdown in demand for power batteries due to policy changes, the overall demand for lithium is expected to rebound significantly in 2026, with projections of 1.9 million electric vehicles sold in China, a 15.2% increase year-on-year [16][18]. Pricing Dynamics - The current low inventory levels, with social stocks of lithium carbonate dropping to around 10,300 tons, have significantly amplified price elasticity, leading to a market that is trading on "shortage driven by restocking" rather than waiting for supply-demand equilibrium [18][24]. - The pricing logic in the lithium market is shifting from "current period looseness" to "future period tightness," as financial attributes of lithium are becoming more pronounced, with market participants pricing in future scarcity [25][26]. Geopolitical Factors - The emergence of a "Lithium OPEC" in South America, involving Argentina, Bolivia, and Chile, aims to regain pricing power over lithium resources, which could further complicate supply dynamics [6][7]. - Geopolitical and policy variables, such as nationalization efforts in Chile and Mexico's strategic designation of lithium, are expected to layer additional pricing options that could influence market dynamics over time [6][7]. Future Outlook - Analysts predict that lithium carbonate prices could exceed 200,000 yuan/ton in the short term, supported by low inventory, concentrated supply disruptions, and the upcoming demand peak [26]. - The long-term outlook remains uncertain, with differing views on whether prices above 200,000 yuan/ton will be sustainable or if they represent a temporary window before supply increases catch up [26].

Group 1 - The China Securities 1000 ETF (159845) opened down 0.83% at 3.469 yuan [1] - Major holdings in the ETF experienced declines, including Xiangnong Chip Innovation down 1.83%, Dongxin Co. down 1.63%, and Yuanjie Technology down 3.28% [1] - The ETF's performance benchmark is the China Securities 1000 Index return, managed by Huaxia Fund Management Co., with a return of 45.08% since its inception on March 18, 2021, and a return of 1.47% over the past month [1]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate futures rose and then fell, with the total open interest increasing by 2,957. The market continued to trade on the lithium mine ban in Zimbabwe. The responses from Yahua Group, Huayou Cobalt, and Zhongkuang Resources alleviated market concerns. The spot price of electric carbon increased by 10,700 to 176,000, Australian ore rose by 90, lithium mica rose by 155, ternary remained flat, and iron lithium rose by 2,000 - 2,100. The social inventory of lithium carbonate decreased by 2,839 tons to 100,093 tons compared to before the holiday. In the short term, as the hype on the supply side cools down, lithium prices face downward pressure, but with continuous destocking of domestic social inventory and the approaching peak demand season, there is strong support below. It is recommended to wait for buying opportunities after the price correction [12]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1. Market Review and Operation Suggestions - The lithium carbonate futures rose and then fell, with the total open interest increasing by 2,957. The market continued to trade on the lithium mine ban in Zimbabwe. Responses from relevant companies alleviated market concerns, leading to some long - position holders taking profits. The spot price of electric carbon, Australian ore, lithium mica, and iron lithium increased, while ternary remained flat. The social inventory of lithium carbonate decreased by 2,839 tons to 100,093 tons compared to before the holiday. It is recommended to wait for buying opportunities after the price correction [12]. 3.2. Industry News - On February 26, Yahua Group stated on the interactive platform that the Zimbabwe export ban would not affect its normal production and operation. Its Zimbabwe project meets the requirements, has resubmitted the export application, and is expected to resume export in 1 - 2 weeks. The Zimbabwean government hopes that Chinese enterprises will accelerate the construction of lithium sulfate plants, and Yahua's project has started. The previously produced lithium concentrate has been shipped back, ensuring domestic production needs [13]. - On February 26, Core Lithium Ltd. announced selling a batch of ore inventory from its idle Finniss lithium mine in Australia to Glencore at a price of $2,023 per ton for about 5,100 tons of lithium concentrate to raise funds for potential project restart. The company retains the lithium fine powder inventory for better future processing options [13][14].

Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate market has shown strong performance post-Spring Festival, with futures prices experiencing significant increases due to both fundamental and news-driven factors [2]. Group 1: Market Performance - On February 26, lithium carbonate futures opened strongly, with the main contract LC2605 reaching a peak of 187,700 yuan/ton, reflecting an increase of over 11% at one point, and closing at 173,660 yuan/ton, up by 3.47% [1]. - The price increase is attributed to the rise in international commodity prices during the holiday and expectations of a tighter supply-demand balance in the spot market after March [2]. Group 2: Supply Concerns - The Zimbabwean Ministry of Mines announced an immediate suspension of all raw ore and lithium concentrate exports, including in-transit shipments, to enhance mineral regulation and accountability [2]. - This suspension has raised concerns about supply, as Zimbabwe accounts for approximately 10% of global lithium supply, and any long-term restrictions could significantly impact global lithium supply-demand dynamics [4]. Group 3: Company Impact - Domestic companies such as Shengxin Lithium Energy, Zhongkuang Resources, and Huayou Cobalt have lithium mining operations in Zimbabwe [3]. - Companies like Huayou Cobalt and Zhongkuang Resources have existing lithium production capacities, with Huayou's 50,000-ton lithium sulfate project expected to be operational soon, while Zhongkuang's 30,000-ton capacity is projected for 2027 [3]. - The impact of Zimbabwe's policy is considered short-term, with companies having inventory plans in place, and the overall effect on those with mining qualifications is expected to be limited [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Analysts predict that the lithium carbonate market will maintain a strong fundamental position in the short term, with supply-demand dynamics remaining tight [5]. - Increased shipments of lithium salts from Chile are expected to alleviate some supply pressures, but the overall trend of inventory depletion is likely to continue [5]. - The market is anticipated to remain in a tight balance, supported by recovering production from lithium salt enterprises and positive production expectations from material companies [5].