Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Greentown Service (02869) [3][8] Core Views - Greentown Service has demonstrated strong performance in the first half of 2025, with revenue of 9.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.1%, and core operating profit rising by 25.3%, exceeding market expectations [8] - The company is focusing on quality improvement and operational efficiency, which has led to an increase in gross margin and net profit margin [8] - The company is expected to continue its stable expansion through third-party services, with a strong focus on the Yangtze River Delta region [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Revenue projections for Greentown Service are as follows: - 2023: 17,393 million yuan - 2024: 17,893 million yuan - 2025E: 19,377 million yuan - 2026E: 21,270 million yuan - 2027E: 22,938 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for revenue are projected at: - 2023: 17.1% - 2024: 2.8% - 2025E: 8.3% - 2026E: 9.8% - 2027E: 7.8% [7][9] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted as follows: - 2023: 605 million yuan - 2024: 785 million yuan - 2025E: 922 million yuan - 2026E: 1,053 million yuan - 2027E: 1,184 million yuan - Year-on-year growth rates for net profit are projected at: - 2023: 10.6% - 2024: 29.7% - 2025E: 17.4% - 2026E: 14.3% - 2027E: 12.4% [7][9] Operational Highlights - As of the end of the first half of 2025, the managed area reached 536 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 11.3% [8] - The company has a reserve area of 347 million square meters, down 2.9% year-on-year, due to a strategic withdrawal from risk-prone projects [8] - The satisfaction rate of services is reported at 93 points, an increase of 3 percentage points year-on-year, with a project renewal rate of 96.5%, up 2.4 percentage points [8]
绿城服务（02869）：提质增效、精细运营，业绩表现再超预期