Desay SV(SZ:002920) Orient Securities·2025-08-23 07:26Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 162.86 CNY, based on a comparable company PE average valuation of 34 times for 2025 [2][5]. Core Views - The company's profitability is expected to achieve high growth driven by its intelligent driving business and overseas market expansion. The EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 4.79, 5.94, and 7.38 CNY respectively, up from previous estimates [2][4]. - The company is experiencing strong revenue growth, with a projected revenue increase from 21,908 million CNY in 2023 to 49,526 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 19.5% [4][9]. - The intelligent driving business is expected to grow significantly, with a revenue increase of 55.5% year-on-year in the first half of 2025, supported by new product launches and AI technology integration [9]. Financial Summary - Revenue (in million CNY): - 2023: 21,908 - 2024: 27,618 (26.1% YoY growth) - 2025: 34,149 (23.6% YoY growth) - 2026: 41,452 (21.4% YoY growth) - 2027: 49,526 (19.5% YoY growth) [4][10] - Net Profit (in million CNY): - 2023: 1,547 - 2024: 2,005 (29.6% YoY growth) - 2025: 2,657 (32.5% YoY growth) - 2026: 3,298 (24.1% YoY growth) - 2027: 4,096 (24.2% YoY growth) [4][10] - Gross Margin: - 2023: 20.0% - 2024: 19.9% - 2025: 20.2% - 2026: 20.5% - 2027: 20.7% [4][10] - Net Margin: - 2023: 7.1% - 2024: 7.3% - 2025: 7.8% - 2026: 8.0% - 2027: 8.3% [4][10] - Return on Equity (ROE): - 2023: 21.4% - 2024: 22.8% - 2025: 25.0% - 2026: 25.5% - 2027: 25.6% [4][10]