HYPC(SZ:000703) EBSCN·2025-08-23 11:44Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company experienced a significant recovery in Q2 2025, with a notable increase in net profit compared to the previous quarter, driven by improved refining and polyester filament price spreads [4][7] - The company is accelerating its layout of high-value differentiated products, with a focus on biodegradable fibers and other high-margin products, positioning itself for future growth [6][7] - The Brunei refining project is expected to benefit from the expanding supply-demand gap in the Southeast Asian refined oil market, enhancing the company's competitive advantage [5][7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 55.96 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 230 million yuan, down 47.3% year-on-year. In Q2 alone, revenue was 28.79 billion yuan, down 13.0% year-on-year but up 6.0% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 175 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 953.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 240.2% [3][4] Market Conditions - The average Brent crude oil price in Q2 2025 was $66.76 per barrel, down 22% year-on-year and 11% quarter-on-quarter. The price spread for refining improved significantly, indicating a recovery in the company's performance despite a challenging market environment [4] Growth Prospects - The company has a total polyester production capacity of 13.25 million tons per year, with a focus on differentiated products. The proportion of differentiated fiber production has increased to 27%, leading the industry [6] - The Southeast Asian refined oil market is projected to face a supply-demand gap of 68 million tons by 2026, which the company is well-positioned to exploit through its Brunei refining project [5][7] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been adjusted downward due to the declining industry outlook, with expected net profits of 580 million yuan, 764 million yuan, and 965 million yuan respectively. The report maintains a positive outlook on the company's future growth potential [7][8]