xinsteel(SH:600782) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-08-23 11:53Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4][6] Core Views - The company turned a profit in the first half of 2025, achieving a net profit of 111 million yuan, compared to a net loss of 75.47 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - The company's product structure continues to improve, focusing on high-value products, with significant increases in sales of premium steel varieties [3] - The company's profitability is expected to recover in the short term, supported by internal resource integration and a shift towards high-end product offerings [4] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 17.512 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.33% [1] - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 99 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 690.99% [2] - The company’s sales gross margin improved, with quarterly sales gross margins of -2.87%, 5.18%, 3.06%, and 3.42% from Q3 2024 to Q2 2025 [2] Production and Sales - The company produced 4.2748 million tons of steel in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 13.93%, while sales reached 4.3433 million tons, down 12.04% year-on-year [3] - The sales volume of high-end products increased significantly, with hot-rolled high-end products up 97.6% and premium steel varieties increasing by over 20% [3] Future Projections - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 740 million yuan, 950 million yuan, and 1.19 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4] - The estimated market capitalization corresponding to the mid-level valuation for the next three years is around 17.2 billion yuan [4]