XINJI ENERGY(SH:601918) Xinda Securities·2025-08-23 14:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xinji Energy (601918.SH) [1][6] Core Views - The report highlights that the decline in coal prices and electricity generation prices has negatively impacted the company's performance in the first half of 2025, but there is an expectation for significant improvement in the second half of the year [1][2][3] - The coal sector experienced a drop in prices despite an increase in production, with Q2 coal sales price averaging 477.60 RMB/ton, down 12.58% year-on-year [2][3] - The electricity sector saw a substantial increase in sales volume, with a 44.22% year-on-year growth in electricity generation in the first half of 2025, although there was a 16.75% decline in generation volume quarter-on-quarter in Q2 [3][4] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, Xinji Energy reported operating revenue of 5.811 billion RMB, a decrease of 2.91% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 920 million RMB, down 21.72% year-on-year [1][2] - The company’s coal production in H1 2025 reached 11.1965 million tons, an increase of 7.88% year-on-year, while coal sales volume was 9.4337 million tons, up 3.63% year-on-year [2] - The average coal sales price in H1 2025 was 528.53 RMB/ton, reflecting a decrease of 6.32% year-on-year [2] Future Outlook - The report anticipates that the coal market will see improved supply and demand dynamics in Q3 2025, driven by increased electricity consumption due to rising temperatures and government initiatives to stabilize coal supply [2][3] - The company is expected to benefit from the commissioning of new power plants, which will enhance its electricity generation capacity and profitability in the medium term [4][6] - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is adjusted to 2.069 billion RMB, 2.592 billion RMB, and 2.615 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 8.06, 6.44, and 6.38 [6]