Xianhe(SH:603733) Xinda Securities·2025-08-24 07:13Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 5.991 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 30.1%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 474 million yuan, a decrease of 13.8% year-on-year [1][2] - The company benefits from the ramp-up of new pulp and paper bases, maintaining high revenue growth despite some price declines in certain paper products [2] - The company is expected to see a rebound in pulp prices and improved margins due to increased self-produced pulp and cost optimization [2][4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.3%, with a net profit of 238 million yuan, down 15.4% year-on-year [1][2] - The gross margin for Q2 2025 was 12.8%, down 4.6 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 7.9%, down 3.8 percentage points year-on-year [5] Product Segmentation - The company’s revenue from daily consumer products, food and medical, business communication, tobacco, and electrical and industrial sectors for H1 2025 was 2.556 billion, 1.034 billion, 352 million, 445 million, and 410 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11.2%, 22.9%, 2.9%, 13.8%, and 3.5% [3] Production Capacity - The company’s production in H1 2025 included 7.28 million tons of paper and 10.3 million tons of pulp from the Hubei base, and 11.08 million tons of paper and 21.24 million tons of pulp from the Guangxi base [4] - The company is expected to increase its production capacity significantly in 2025, with a projected year-on-year growth of 30% to 40% [4] Profitability Forecast - The company’s projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.111 billion, 1.621 billion, and 1.929 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.4X, 11.3X, and 9.5X [5][7]