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江苏银行(600919):规模加速扩张,零售资产质量边际改善

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for Jiangsu Bank [1][4]. Core Views - Jiangsu Bank has shown steady performance with an increase in revenue growth, achieving operating income of 44.864 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.78%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 20.238 billion yuan, up 8.05% year-on-year [4]. - The bank's asset quality is improving, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.84% as of June 2025, a decrease of 2 basis points from the previous quarter, marking a historical low [4]. - The bank's net interest income reached 32.939 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a robust growth of 19.1% year-on-year, driven by strong asset scale growth [4]. - The bank is focusing on expanding its retail business and wealth management, with retail assets under management (AUM) increasing by 14.39% year-to-date [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Jiangsu Bank's H1 2025 operating income was 44.864 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 7.78%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 20.238 billion yuan, up 8.05% year-on-year. The annualized weighted average ROE was 15.64%, down 0.78 percentage points year-on-year [4]. - In Q2 2025, revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders grew by 9.38% and 7.95% year-on-year, respectively [4]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan ratio was 0.84% as of June 2025, down 2 basis points from the previous quarter. The ratio of loans under scrutiny was 1.24%, down 9 basis points [4]. - The bank's provision coverage ratio stood at 331.02%, indicating a strong risk mitigation level [4]. Business Expansion - The bank's total loans increased by 15.98% year-to-date, with corporate loans growing by 23.3% and retail loans by 3.07% [4]. - The bank's deposits increased by 19.86% year-to-date, with corporate and personal deposits growing by 22.2% and 15.25%, respectively [4]. Investment Outlook - The report forecasts a steady growth trajectory for Jiangsu Bank, with projected BVPS of 14.16 yuan, 15.67 yuan, and 17.29 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, indicating a favorable price-to-book ratio [4][42].