ZHENHUA(SZ:000733) Orient Securities·2025-08-24 07:53Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 63.69 CNY [2][6]. Core Views - The company's performance is under pressure due to changes in product structure and pricing, but is expected to improve sequentially starting from Q3 as market conditions recover [1][10]. - The company reported a revenue of 2.41 billion CNY in H1 2025, a decrease of 0.83% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 312 million CNY, down 25.74% [1]. - The second quarter of 2025 saw a revenue increase of 6.05% to 1.50 billion CNY, although net profit decreased by 20.34% to 253 million CNY [1]. Financial Forecasts - The gross margin has been adjusted downward, with EPS forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 revised to 1.93 CNY, 2.82 CNY, and 3.37 CNY respectively [2]. - The company is expected to benefit from the recovery in the defense market, with significant improvements anticipated in revenue recognition and profitability as the market conditions improve [10]. - The financial projections indicate a revenue growth of 26.5% in 2025, followed by 24.2% in 2026 and 16.3% in 2027 [4][10]. Company Financial Information - The company reported a revenue of 7.79 billion CNY in 2023, with a projected revenue of 6.60 billion CNY in 2025, and 8.20 billion CNY in 2026 [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to recover from 970 million CNY in 2024 to 1.07 billion CNY in 2025, and further to 1.56 billion CNY in 2026 [4]. - The gross margin is expected to decline to 46.9% in 2025 but is projected to stabilize at 49.4% in 2026 and 2027 [4].