Workflow
顾家家居(603816):内销企稳向好,外贸持续增长

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1]. Core Views - The company has shown stable domestic sales and continued growth in foreign trade, with a significant increase in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025 [5][6]. - The company's revenue for 1H2025 reached 9.8 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 10.0%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.02 billion yuan, up 13.9% year-on-year [5]. - The report highlights the effectiveness of the company's retail transformation and its ability to withstand risks in foreign trade, particularly through its operations in Vietnam and the expansion of its OBM business in Southeast Asia [8][9]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 1H2025, the company achieved revenue of 9.8 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.02 billion yuan, with cash flow from operating activities at 1.09 billion yuan, reflecting a 71.9% increase year-on-year [5][6]. - The revenue breakdown by product categories shows sofas, beds, integrated products, and custom products generating 5.67 billion, 1.69 billion, 1.16 billion, and 550 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 14.7%, 10.3%, -8.2%, and 12.6% [6]. Cost and Profitability - The overall gross margin for 1H2025 was 32.9%, a slight decrease of 0.1 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin increased by 0.4 percentage points to 10.4% [6]. - The company's expense ratio for the period was 20.1%, down 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved operational efficiency [7]. Market Strategy - The company is focusing on enhancing its retail operations and digital capabilities, which are expected to drive growth in the second half of the year [8]. - The expansion of the company's manufacturing capacity in Vietnam is anticipated to significantly cover the demand in the U.S. market, enhancing its resilience against global trade policy fluctuations [8]. Earnings Forecast - The revenue and net profit forecasts for 2025 have been slightly adjusted upwards to 19.78 billion yuan and 1.91 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a 3% and 4% increase [9]. - The projected EPS for 2025 is 2.33 yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 12, 11, and 10 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [10][13].