SACO(SZ:002025) Orient Securities·2025-08-24 11:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 60.39 CNY, based on a PE ratio of 61 times for 2025 [4][2]. Core Views - The company's H1 2025 revenue reached 2.935 billion CNY, a slight increase of 0.47%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 87 million CNY, down 77.49% [1]. - The decline in profitability is attributed to several factors, including a decrease in military product orders, rising raw material costs, and increased depreciation [8]. - The company expects a recovery in defense revenue in the second half of the year, driven by improved order fulfillment and cash collection efforts [8]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are adjusted to 6.537 billion CNY, 8.246 billion CNY, and 9.873 billion CNY, respectively, with expected growth rates of 30.1%, 26.1%, and 19.7% [3]. - The forecasted EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.99 CNY, 1.77 CNY, and 2.20 CNY, respectively [2]. - The company's gross margin is expected to decline to 34.3% in 2025, with net profit margins stabilizing at 6.9% [3]. Market Position and Outlook - The company is positioned as a leader in military connectors, with significant market share in aerospace and missile sectors, benefiting from the recovery in defense spending and technological advancements [8]. - The company is also focusing on expanding into emerging markets and new industries, such as commercial aerospace and data centers, which are expected to drive future growth [8].