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药明合联(02268):业绩超预期,资本开支持续加码,高成长性确定性强

Investment Rating - The investment rating for WuXi AppTec (02268.HK) is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance exceeded expectations, with a significant increase in revenue and net profit. The revenue for H1 2025 reached 2.701 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 62.2%. The adjusted net profit (excluding interest income and expenses) was 733 million yuan, up 69.6% year-on-year [7] - The company has a strong order backlog, with total unfulfilled orders amounting to 1.329 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 57.9%. The North American region accounts for more than half of the unfulfilled orders, with new contract amounts growing by 48.4% [7] - The company is expanding its production capacity, with significant capital expenditures planned, including 1.56 billion yuan in 2025 and over 7 billion yuan by 2029. This expansion aims to support future growth and meet increasing demand [7] Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow from 4.052 billion yuan in 2024 to 10.305 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 25.68% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 1.070 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.758 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [1] - Non-GAAP net profit is forecasted to rise from 1.174 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.908 billion yuan in 2027, indicating robust operational performance [1] Market Position - The company's market share is expected to increase to 22.2% by H1 2025, driven by a growing customer base and expanding project pipeline [7] - The company has established a strong presence in the North American market, which is anticipated to continue outpacing growth in other regions [7] Capital Expenditure - The company plans to invest significantly in capital expenditures, with 15.6 billion yuan expected in 2025 to enhance domestic and international production capacity [7] - New production facilities are set to come online, including a new park in Singapore expected to achieve GMP certification by 2026 [7]