Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [20]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 12.661 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 10.36%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.671 billion yuan, a decrease of 11.06% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company successfully launched new factories, which are expected to improve production capacity and efficiency, despite short-term pressure on gross margins due to the ramp-up phase [5][6]. - The company is expanding its customer base, with significant contributions from new clients like Adidas, which has led to increased sales volume [3][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company's gross margin for the footwear business was 21.83%, a decline of 6.38 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to new factories being in the ramp-up phase [5]. - The company achieved a sales volume of 115 million pairs of sports shoes in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.14% [4]. - The net profit margin for the first half of 2025 was 13.2%, reflecting a decrease compared to the previous year [5]. Production and Capacity - The total production capacity for the company in the first half of 2025 was 117 million pairs, with a capacity utilization rate of 95.78% [5]. - The company has been diversifying its production bases, with new factories in Vietnam, Indonesia, and China to mitigate risks associated with concentrated production [5]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast for the company has been adjusted, with expected net profits of 3.564 billion yuan, 4.256 billion yuan, and 5.192 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of -7%, +19%, and +22% [6]. - The company is projected to have a price-to-earnings ratio of 18 times for 2025 [6].
华利集团（300979）：25H1业绩点评：毛利率短期承压，新工厂顺利投产