COUNTRY GARDEN(HK:02007) Orient Securities·2025-08-25 01:44Group 1 - The report suggests that after a significant adjustment in the short credit market, there is an increased potential for gains, recommending a focus on mid to short-term credit investments [4][7][8] - The credit bond market has experienced a comprehensive valuation adjustment, with notable declines particularly in the short-end credits, leading to a mixed market sentiment [4][7][17] - The strategy continues to emphasize riding the steep parts of the yield curve, particularly in the 2Y to 3Y range, as these segments are seen as having the strongest certainty and stability [8][9][20] Group 2 - The weekly review indicates that the issuance of credit bonds remained stable, with a slight increase in maturity amounts, resulting in a deeper negative net financing [14][15] - The average issuance costs for new bonds across various ratings have significantly increased, with AAA and AA+ rated bonds seeing rises of 10bp and 13bp respectively [14][15] - The liquidity in the secondary market for credit bonds has further declined, with trading volumes and turnover rates decreasing [17][24] Group 3 - The report highlights that credit spreads across various grades and maturities have widened, indicating a trend of adjustment and potential risk in the market [20][22][24] - The credit spreads for local government bonds have also shown a widening trend, with an average increase of around 3bp across provinces [22][24] - The real estate sector has experienced the most significant widening in credit spreads, with some companies seeing increases of up to 6bp [24]