YTL(SZ:000960) HTSC·2025-08-25 04:25Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 21.093 billion RMB for H1 2025, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.062 billion RMB, up 32.76% year-over-year [1] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was 12.34%, an increase of 0.41 percentage points year-over-year, with Q2 gross margin at 13.06%, showing a slight quarter-over-quarter growth of 1.2% [2] - The company is actively expanding its mining resources and has announced a stock buyback plan to enhance investor confidence [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 11.365 billion RMB, a year-over-year increase of 9.53% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 16.82% [1] - The net profit for Q2 2025 was 562 million RMB, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 18.76% and a quarter-over-quarter growth of 12.61% [1] - The company’s total production of non-ferrous metals in H1 2025 reached 181,300 tons, including 48,100 tons of tin, 69,800 tons of zinc, 62,500 tons of copper, and 937 tons of lead [2] Market Conditions - Domestic refined tin social inventory decreased from 6,320 tons in January to 4,950 tons by the end of July 2025, while global exchange inventory fell from over 13,000 tons in April to below 10,000 tons in August [3] - The tight supply of tin resources is expected to support tin prices, with a positive outlook for price trends in 2026-2027 due to ongoing resource scarcity [3] Strategic Initiatives - The company has a tin smelting capacity of 80,000 tons per year and is planning to develop additional copper-tungsten mining capacity of 1.5 million tons per year [4] - The stock buyback plan announced on June 12, 2025, is expected to involve 100 million to 200 million RMB, aimed at boosting investor confidence [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been slightly adjusted upwards to 2.262 billion RMB, 2.599 billion RMB, and 2.838 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.37 RMB, 1.58 RMB, and 1.72 RMB [5] - The target price for the company is set at 21.72 RMB, based on a PE ratio of 15.86 times for 2025 [5]