GDPD(SH:600795) Guohai Securities·2025-08-25 06:04Investment Rating - The investment rating for Guodian Power (600795) is "Buy" (maintained) [1][11] Core Views - The company is expected to increase its dividend payout ratio to over 60% in the next three years, with a proposed cash dividend of no less than 0.22 CNY per share (including tax) [4][10] - Despite a decline in revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, the company has shown strong operational profit growth, particularly in non-recurring profit adjustments [7][10] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company's revenue was 77.65 billion CNY, down 9.5% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.69 billion CNY, down 45.1% year-on-year [4][10] - In Q2 2025, the revenue was 37.84 billion CNY, a decrease of 6.0% year-on-year, and the net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.88 billion CNY, down 62% year-on-year [4][10] - The company reported a significant increase in non-recurring net profit in Q2 2025, primarily due to a 4.6 billion CNY investment gain from the transfer of Guodian Investment Inner Mongolia Energy Company [7][10] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The forecast for revenue from 2025 to 2027 is 177.9 billion CNY, 185.7 billion CNY, and 186.9 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding net profits of 7.14 billion CNY, 7.63 billion CNY, and 8.24 billion CNY [9][10] - The expected diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 0.40 CNY, 0.43 CNY, and 0.46 CNY respectively [9][10] Market Performance - As of August 22, 2025, the current stock price is 4.79 CNY, with a 52-week price range of 4.07 CNY to 6.02 CNY [3][11] - The company's market capitalization is approximately 85.43 billion CNY [3]