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歌尔股份(002241):盈利质量持续改善,看好AI+AR眼镜成长机遇

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [4] Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from the growth opportunities in AI and AR glasses, with improving profitability and revenue quality [2][10] - The company has shown resilience in its precision components and smart hardware segments, particularly in AI smart glasses and wearables, which have offset declines in other areas [2][3] - The report forecasts a recovery in the XR industry, with expected growth in global VR, MR, and AR device shipments, benefiting the company as a key supplier [3][10] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company show a gradual recovery, with expected revenues of 98.57 billion CNY in 2023, increasing to 131.53 billion CNY by 2027, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 13.6% from 2024 to 2027 [1][11] - Net profit is projected to rise significantly from 1.09 billion CNY in 2023 to 5.04 billion CNY in 2027, with a notable increase in profit margins [1][10] - The company's ROE is expected to improve from 3.2% in 2023 to 10.8% in 2027, indicating enhanced profitability and efficiency [1][11] Segment Performance - The smart hardware segment reported a revenue increase of 2.49%, while the precision components segment grew by 20.54%, demonstrating strong performance in these areas despite challenges in other segments [2] - The gross margin for H1 2025 was reported at 13.47%, an increase of 1.96 percentage points year-on-year, indicating improved cost management and pricing power [2] - The company is actively pursuing acquisitions to enhance its capabilities in precision components and Micro LED technology, which are critical for its future growth in the AR and AI sectors [9][10]