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锡业股份(000960):半年报点评:二季度扣非利润表现亮眼,致力提升现有矿山价值

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained at "Outperform the Market" [4][6][20]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 21.093 billion yuan in the first half of the year, representing a year-on-year increase of 12.35%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.062 billion yuan, up 32.76% year-on-year, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.303 billion yuan, an increase of 30.55% year-on-year [1][9]. - The company is the world's largest producer of refined tin, with a domestic market share of 47.98% and a global market share of 25.03% in 2024. The company aims to strengthen its resource base and enhance its competitive advantages in smelting and mineral processing [3][17]. - The company has set ambitious production targets for 2025, including 90,000 tons of tin, 125,000 tons of copper, and 131,600 tons of zinc, with significant progress made in the first half of the year [2][10]. Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 11.365 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.53% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 16.82%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 562 million yuan, up 18.76% year-on-year and 12.61% quarter-on-quarter [1][9]. - The company’s financial forecasts for 2025-2027 project revenues of 43.734 billion yuan, 44.088 billion yuan, and 44.442 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 4.2%, 0.8%, and 0.8%, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 2.348 billion yuan, 2.755 billion yuan, and 3.006 billion yuan, with growth rates of 62.5%, 17.4%, and 9.1% [4][20][21]. Production and Operational Strategy - The company produced approximately 181,300 tons of non-ferrous metals in the first half of the year, including 48,100 tons of tin, 69,800 tons of zinc, and 62,500 tons of copper. The company has implemented a dual-channel strategy for raw material procurement to ensure stable supply [2][10]. - The company is focused on enhancing the value of existing mines and improving the efficiency of its operations, including optimizing mining layouts and strengthening processing capabilities [3][10][17]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for tin in semiconductor and renewable energy sectors, with expectations of a steady rise in tin prices due to limited supply growth [4][20]. - The strategic goal is to become a leading global supplier of tin and indium products, with ongoing efforts to explore and develop resources in key mining areas [3][17].