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芯原股份(688521):在手订单连创新高,国产ASIC龙头加速腾飞

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 15% relative to the benchmark index within the next 12 months [6][13]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 974 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.49%, despite a net loss of 320 million yuan [1]. - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 584 million yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 49.90%, with significant contributions from intellectual property licensing fees and mass production business [2]. - The company signed new orders worth 1.182 billion yuan in Q2 2025, marking a nearly 150% increase quarter-on-quarter, with a total order backlog of 3.025 billion yuan as of the end of Q2 2025, up 23.17% from the previous quarter [2]. - The company is expanding its presence in the data center/server market with its VPU, NPU, and GPGPU IP, and has established partnerships with leading AI computing clients [3]. - The company has a strong talent reserve, with 1,805 R&D personnel, accounting for 89.31% of its workforce, positioning it well for future market opportunities [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 3.324 billion yuan, 4.315 billion yuan, and 5.535 billion yuan, respectively, with growth rates of 43.2%, 29.8%, and 28.3% [5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to improve from a loss of 103 million yuan in 2025 to a profit of 313 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant turnaround [5]. - The price-to-sales (PS) ratios are expected to decrease from 25.0 in 2025 to 15.0 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation as the company grows [5].