JA SOLAR(SZ:002459) Minsheng Securities·2025-08-25 11:26Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook based on its potential for market share growth following its global expansion and cost reduction efforts [5][8]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 23.905 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 36.01%, with a net loss attributable to shareholders of 2.580 billion yuan [2]. - In Q2 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 13.232 billion yuan, down 38.12% year-on-year but up 23.99% quarter-on-quarter, indicating a narrowing of losses [2]. - The company remains a leader in battery module shipments, with a total of 33.79 GW shipped in H1 2025, ranking third in the industry, and 45.93% of shipments going overseas [3]. - The company is accelerating its global expansion strategy by initiating the issuance of H-shares and plans to invest 565 million USD in Oman to establish production capacity [4]. Financial Projections - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 54.203 billion yuan, 70.056 billion yuan, and 79.988 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits expected to be -3.341 billion yuan, 2.129 billion yuan, and 3.347 billion yuan [5][7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to improve from -1.01 yuan in 2025 to 1.01 yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant recovery in profitability [7][13]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to be 19x in 2026 and 12x in 2027, suggesting a favorable valuation as the company returns to profitability [5][7].