Marubi(SH:603983) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-08-25 14:45Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company's revenue for H1 2025 was 1.769 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 30.8%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 186 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 5.2%. The second quarter of 2025 saw revenue of 923 million yuan, up 33.5%, but net profit decreased by 23.1% [7][10] - Increased sales expenses impacted overall profit performance, with a sales expense ratio of 56.5% in H1 2025, up 3.4 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 10.5%, down 2.6 percentage points year-on-year [7][13] - The Marubi brand generated revenue of 1.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 34.4%, driven by strategic investments in product development and marketing [7] - The PL brand achieved revenue of 516 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.87%, indicating a stable development phase [7] - Online channels accounted for 88.87% of total revenue in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 37.85%, while offline channels saw a decline of 7.07% [7] - The company is expected to continue its multi-brand and multi-channel strategy, focusing on collagen-based skincare products and innovative makeup items [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at 3.815 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 28.5%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 418 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 22.4% [6] - The gross profit margin is expected to be 73.9% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 11.6% [6] - The company has slightly adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2026, now expecting net profits of 420 million yuan and 530 million yuan for 2025 and 2026, respectively [7]